Archive for the ‘Observations’ Category

Earlier today, I posted a series of tweets reflecting on a claim by the allegedly Al-Qaeda-linked “Katibat Imam Shamil,” posted to, claiming responsibility for the 3 April terrorist attack on the St Petersburg metro. I’ve compiled the text of tweets below for convenience, although obviously the issue requires more detailed reflection.


The investigation into the 3 April terrorist attack on the St Petersburg metro has focused on a man of Central Asian origin with possible ties to Syrian rebel groups. The attack raises concerns about the threat posed both by Daesh and extremists within Russia’s sizeable Central Asian community.

Click here to view the rest of this article for RUSI.

The April 3 bombing on the St Petersburg metro was the highest-profile terror attack on Russian soil since a suicide bombing at Moscow’s Domodedovo airport in January 2011. According to Russia’s National Antiterrorism Committee, at least 14 people were killed and 49 injured by an improvised explosive device; further casualties were prevented when a second device was disarmed at another station. Days later, another bomb was found and defused in a residential building.

Click here to view the rest of this article for The Conversation.

Media outlets and experts frequently treat women involved in insurgency and terrorism in highly gendered ways, depriving them of agency and relegating them to the role of mothers, monsters and whores. This gendered treatment has attracted some (albeit not enough) attention, including in relation to the North Caucasus itself – most notably in the work of Caron Gentry and Laura Sjoberg, whose excellent book Beyond Mothers, Monsters, Whores I just paraphrased. There is, however, a related issue that is even more frequently overlooked but that is highly deserving of consideration: gendered approaches to counterinsurgency and counterterrorism pursued by the authorities themselves. (more…)

Two videos have been posted to YouTube confirming the loyalty of the former leaders of the Chechen and Ingushetian sectors of the Caucasus Emirate (IK) to the Islamic State (IS).

KhamzatBayatYouTube22Jul15In the first video – 1 minute 47 seconds long and dated 1 Shaban 1436 (19 May 2015) – Aslan Byutukayev (Khamzat), the former emir of the IK’s Nokhchiycho Wilayah (Chechen Province), reaffirmed his pledge of bayat to IS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Byutukayev’s statement consisted primarily of formulaic statements about shared goals and obeying al-Baghdadi as long as he adheres to the Koran and the Sunnah, and offered nothing by way of insight into future goals and strategy. Its greatest significance is in dispelling any lingering doubts anyone might have entertained about the authenticity of Byutukayev’s previous pledge, a June audio address that dealt the IK a critical blow (see my previous post, The Future of the North Caucasus Insurgency). (more…)

The North Caucasus insurgency has been in a state of flux since December 2014, when the emir and several lower-ranked commanders from the Dagestani sector of the Caucasus Emirate (IK) broke with the movement and publicly swore allegiance to Islamic State (IS) leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Numerous rebel leaders elsewhere in the North Caucasus subsequently followed suit. The IK was further undermined by the death in an April 2015 special operation of its leader Aliaskhab Kebekov (Ali Abu Mukhammad). Although much remains uncertain about the insurgency’s future, the apparent decision of Chechnya’s emir to now also swear allegiance to Al-Baghdadi provides sufficient clarity to offer some initial thoughts. (more…)

Caucasus Emirate leader Aliaskhab Kebekov (aka Ali Abu Mukhammad) is gradually starting to exert his ideological influence over the movement and distinguish his leadership from that of his predecessor, the late Dokka Umarov (aka Abu Usman), whom he succeeded in March. Having earlier sided with Jabhat al-Nusrah and Ayman al-Zawahiri in their dispute with the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), Kebekov has now sought to impose clear limits on suicide bombings and the role of women in the insurgency. (more…)